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Daily: Massive bullish divergence between price and MACD…Histogram。 See how strong bears were at bottom A; weaker at bottom B; and now; at C; with prices much lower; bears hardly have any power。 Moreover; there is a rarely seen bullish divergence B…C between price and MACD…Lines。 Triple bullish divergence A…B…C between two…day Force Index and price shows that each recent attempt to drive prices lower was weaker than before。 This divergence is shouting to buy now because it reveals that bears are out of steam and bulls are about to seize control。
日线图:价格和MACD柱形成了严重的看涨背离。看看空头在A点是多么强,在B点变弱了,现在在C点,价格更低,空头已经没劲了。另外,B,C之间价格和MACD线也形成了一个不容易看见的看涨背离。A,B,C之间2日力量指数和价格的3个看涨背离说明每一次砸盘的力量都在减弱。这个背离大喊买入,因为它表明空头没力气了,多头要接受控制权了。
Action: Long on 4/9/2001 at 13。91; with a stop at 13。18; below the latest low。
交易计划:200年4月9日以13。91的价格买入,止损在13。18,比最新的低点低的地方。
Figure 10。4 Exit
图10。4 出场
EXIT
出场
Daily: Prices snapped back slightly above their EMA; working off the over…sold condition; and appear to have stalled。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a bearish divergence A…B; showing that the rally of the past three days is weaker than during the previous week。
日线图:价格反弹,涨到均线上面一点点,超卖不再严重,似乎要停下来了。2日力量指数在AB区间跟踪到看跌背离,表明过去3天的反弹比之前一周要弱。
Action: Sold longs on 4/20/2001 at 18。85。 Trade rating 55% (took 4。94 out of a 9…point channel)。
交易计划:在2001年4月20日以18。85的价格卖出。交易得分55%(9点的通道宽度,赚了4。94点)。
Trade 2 … Long GX
交易2——做多横穿全球电信公司
Different stocks often trace similar patterns within a few days of each other。 If you figure out what the leaders are doing; you can start looking for similar patterns in the laggards。 A friend drew my attention to GX when she called to ask my opinion on a handful of stocks that she liked。 Its patterns looked remarkably similar to CSCO; which was already running in my favor。
不同的股票会在几天内互相走类似的路线。如果你知道领头羊是怎么走的,你可以期待落后的股票也走类似的模式。一个朋友给我打电话,问我对一大把股票有什么看法,横穿全球引起了我的注意。它的模式看起来像思科,思科已经为我赚钱了。
Figure 10。5 Weekly Entry
图10。5 周线图 进场点
Figure 10。6 Daily Entry 1
图10。6 日线图进场点1
Figure 10。7 Daily Entry 2
图10。7 日线图进场点2
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: GX has lost over 80% of its value。 Prices are as deep below their weekly EMA as they have ever been; just above the 10 psychological support level。 Both MACD…Histogram and MACD…Lines are tracing massive bullish divergences (A…B…C and B…C; respectively)。
周线图:横穿全球下跌了80%。价格跌到了有史以来的均线下面,仅仅在10元心理支撑上面一点。MACD柱和MACD线都跟踪到了巨大的看涨背离(分别在A…B…C和B…C)。
Daily: Bullish divergence between MACD…Histogram and price A…B shows that bears are being weaker; prices are falling out of inertia; and no great selling pressure exists。 Seven trading days ago there was a false breakout below 10; and the rightmost bar is declining to retest that level。 The bottom of the previous week’s break provides a logical stop…loss point。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a triple bullish divergence A…B…C; showing that bears have no force … it is a screaming buy。 Expect prices to snap above their EMA。
日线图:A…B区域MACD柱和价格之间的看涨别离表明空头变弱,价格惯性下跌结束,没有大的卖压。7个交易日钱,在10以下有个假突破,最右边的竹线下跌,再次测试这个水平。上周的底部缺口是合理的止损点。2日力量指数跟踪到了3个看涨背离A…B…C,表明空头没力气了——绝对是买点。期待价格涨到均线以上。
Action: Long on 4/16/2001 at 10。05; with a stop at 8。76; below the latest low。
交易计划:2001年4月16日在10。05做多,止损在8。76,低于最近的低点。
Figure 10。8 Exit
图10。8 出场点
EXIT
出场
Daily: The rally is stalling; as prices have snapped back slightly above their EMA。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a bearish divergence A…B; showing that the rally at the right edge is running out of steam。
日线图:反弹停止了,价格涨到均线上面一点点。在A…B区域,2日力量指数跟踪到了看跌被俩,表明图右边的翻天结束了。
Action: Sold longs on 4/27/2001 at 11。47。 Trade rating 24% (took 1。42 out of a 5。82…point channel)。
交易计划:在2001年4月27日在11。47卖出。交易得分24%(通道宽5。82点,赚了1。42点)。
Trade 3 … Long PG
交易3——做多宝洁公司
At the end of April 2001 I taught a weekend mini…Camp at a California resort。 Once I presented my methods; we spent the bulk of the time applying them to stocks chosen by campers。 Out of dozens of stocks we analyzed that weekend; none looked more appealing than PG。 On Monday morning I went on…line and placed a buy order。
2001年4月底的一个周末,我在加利福尼亚度假区教一个迷你训练营。当我讲了我的方法以后,训练营的学员就花大量时间去找股票。那个周末我们分析了几十个股票,没有任何一个比宝洁有吸引力。周一早上,我上线下单买入。
Figure 10。9
图10。9
Figure 10。10
图10。10
Figure 10。11
图10。11
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: Prices declining into support; weekly MACD…Histogram on the verge of pleting a bullish divergence; while the broad market is rallying。
周线图:价格下跌到支撑,MACD柱形成了看涨背离,同时,宽广的市场在反弹。
Daily: Bullish divergence of MACD…Histogram A…B with an extremely shallow second bottom B shows that bears are pletely out of steam。 The two day Force Index shows both a longer…term bullish divergence A…B…C…D since February and a short…term C…D at the right edge; giving the final mand to pull the trigger。 Expect prices to snap above their EMA; at least as high as they are currently below that line。
日线图:A…B区域MACD柱形成看涨背离,B点的第二个浅底表明空头没力气了。2日力量指数表明有2个看涨背离,一个在2月A…B…C…D区域形成长期的,另一个在C…D区域形成短期的,给出了最后扣扳机的命令。期待价格涨到均线上,至少涨到均线下一点。
Action: Long on 4/23/2001 at 58。02; with a stop at 55。95; below the latest low。
交易计划:2001年4月23日在58。02做多,止损在55。95,在最近的底以下的位置。
Figure 10。12
图10。12
EXIT
出场
Daily: At the right edge; prices gapped up on an earnings report; I had a standing order to sell at 62; which was filled at 63。
日线图:在右边,当收益报告出来时,价格跳空向上,我下单在62卖出,实际在63成交了。
Action: Sold longs on 5/1/2001 at 63。 Trade rating 45% (took 4。98 out of a 10。83…point channel)。
交易结果:2001年5月1日在63卖出。交易评分45%(通道宽度10。83点,占了4。98点)。
Trade 4 … Long IMPH
交易4——做多IMPH
The same friend who called me about GX e…mailed and asked for my opinion on another dozen stocks that she liked; among them this one; which caught my attention。
还是那个打电话给我问横穿全球的朋友,她写电子邮件给我问几十个她喜欢的股票,其中就有这个,它引起了我的注意。
Figure 10。13
图10。13
Figure 10。14
图10。14
Figure 10。15
图10。15
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: There is a kangaroo tail C at the right edge of the chart; a formation rarely seen on weekly charts。 Previous tails A and B led to big rallies。 The overall market is bullish。
周线图:在图的右边有条袋鼠尾巴,在周线图上很少看见这个图形。之前的尾巴A和B都导致了大涨。总体市场在上涨。
Daily: Prices are at the support level; a kangaroo tail B is also seen on the daily chart。 A deep bottom of the two…day Force Index near the right edge reflects massive liquidation; which appears to be over; as prices rallied above support。 Expect prices to snap back to their EMA。
日线图:价格在支撑区,在日线图上也能看见尾巴B。在图的右边2日力量指数的底很深,反映了很大的流动性,这个流动性会结束,因为价格涨到了支撑区以上。期待价格回到均线。
Action: Long on 5/2/2001 at 33。86; with a stop at 30。50; half way down the tail。
行动:2001年5月2日在33。86做多,止损是30。50,尾巴向下的一半位置。
Figure 10。16
图10。16
EXIT
出场
Daily: Another tail; this one pointing up。 The expected rally to the EMA did take place; unfortunately; prices recoiled before profits could be taken at that level。
日线图:又是一条尾巴,这次向上指。价格向上涨到均线期待已经实现了,可以在这个水平兑现利润。
Action: Sold longs on 5/8/2001 at 36。39。 Trade rating 16% (took 2。53 out of a 16…point channel)。
行动:2001年5月8日在36。39卖出。交易评分16%(通道16点,赚了2。53点)。
Trade 5 … Short OCA
交易5——做空美国牙科中心
A dentist friend asked me to take a look at a firm that was trying to take over his dental pany。 He was being offered its stock and did not know whether it was a good deal。 It looked just the opposite to me。
一个牙医朋友叫我看看一个公司的股票,这家公司要收购他们的牙具公司。他可以拥有这家公司的股票,但他不知道是不是划算。我看确实不划算。
Figure 10。17
图10。17
Figure 10。18
图10。18
Figure 10。19
图10。19
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: The rally is running into heavy resistance; with weekly MACD…Histogram flattening at the right edge; indicating that the rally is near its end。
周线图:反弹遇到了严重的压力,MACD柱在右边开始变平,表明反弹快结束了。
Daily: Massive bearish divergences on the dailies of MACD…Histogram and MACD…lines (A…B…C); as well as Force Index (A…B…C)。 The tiny daily ranges during the last week show that bulls have retreated from the market; resistance to this rally is overwhelming。 The plan is to sell short with a SafeZone stop。
日线图:MACD柱,MACD线(A…B…C)和力量指数(A…B…C)都有严重的看跌背离。上周日间波动很小,表明多头已经�