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    If every nation was already in possession of the territory



which is necessary for its internal development; and for the



maintenance of its political; industrial; and commercial



independence; then every conquest of territory would be contrary to



sound policy; because by the unnatural increase of territory the



jealousy of the nation which is thus encroached upon would be



excited and kept alive; and consequently the sacrifices which the



conquering nation would have to make for retaining such provinces



would be immeasurably greater than the advantages accruing from



their possession。 A just and wise apportionment of territory is;



however; at this day not to be thought of; because this question is



complicated by manifold interests of another nature。 At the same



time it must not be ignored that rectification of territory must be



reckoned among the most important requirements of the nations; that



striving to attain it is legitimate; that indeed in many cases it



is a justifiable reason for war。



    Further causes of antipathy between the nations are; at the



present time; the diversity of their interests in respect to



manufactures; commerce; navigation; naval power; and colonial



possessions; also the difference in their degrees of civilisation;



of religion; and of political condition。 All these interests are



complicated in manifold ways through the interests of dynasties and



powers。



    The causes of antipathy are; on the other hand; causes of



sympathy。 The less powerful nations sympathise against the most



powerful; those whose independence is endangered sympathise against



the aggressors; territorial powers against naval supremacy; those



whose industry and commerce are defective sympathise against those



who are striving for an industrial and commercial monopoly; the



half…civilised against the civilised; those who are subjects of a



monarchy against those whose government is entirely or partially



democratic。



    Nations at this time pursue their own interests and sympathies



by means of alliances of those who are like…minded and have like



interests against the interests and tendencies which conflict with



theirs。 As; however; these interests and tendencies conflict with



one another in various ways; these alliances are liable to change。



Those nations who are friends to…day may be enemies to…morrow; and



vice vers猓弧s soon as ever some one of the great interests or



principles is at stake by which they feel themselves repelled from



or drawn towards one another。



    Politicians have long felt that the equalisation of the nations



must be their ultimate aim。 That which people call the maintenance



of the European balance of power has always been nothing else than



the endeavours of the less powerful to impose a check on the



encroachments of the more powerful。 Yet politics have not seldom



confounded their proximate object with their ultimate one; and vice



vers狻�



    The proximate task of politics always consists in clearly



perceiving in what respect the alliance and equalisation of the



different interests is at the moment most pressing; and to strive



that until this equalisation is attained all other questions may be



suspended and kept in the background。



    When the dynastic; monarchic; and aristocratic interests of



Europe allied themselves against the revolutionary tendencies of



1789; disregarding all considerations regarding power and commerce;



their policy was a correct one。



    It was just as correct when the French Empire introduced the



tendency of conquest in place of that of revolution。



    Napoleon sought by his Continental system to establish a



Continental coalition against the predominant naval and commercial



power of England; but in order to succeed; it was necessary for



him; first of all; to take away from the Continental nations the



apprehension of being conquered by France。 He failed; because on



their part the fear of his supremacy on land greatly outweighed the



disadvantages which they suffered from the naval supremacy。



    With the fall of the French Empire; the object of the great



alliance ceased。 From that time forth; the Continental powers were



menaced neither by the revolutionary tendencies nor by the lust of



conquest of France。 England's predominance in manufactures;



navigation; commerce; colonial possessions; and naval power; had;



on the other hand; enormously increased during the conflicts



against the Revolution and against the French conquest。 From that



time forth; it became the interest of the Continental powers to



ally themselves with France against the commercial and naval



predominance。 Solely from fear of the skin of the dead lion; the



Continental powers did not heed sufficiently the living leopard who



had hitherto fought in their ranks。 The Holy Alliance was a



political error。



    This error also brought about its own punishment through the



revolution of Italy。 The Holy Alliance had unnecessarily called



into life a counter force which no longer existed; or which at



least would not for a long time have revived again。 Fortunately for



the Continental powers; the dynasty of July contrived to appease



the revolutionary tendency in France。 France concluded the alliance



with England in the interests of the dynasty of July and of



strengthening the constitutional monarchy。 England concluded it in



the interest of the maintenance of her commercial supremacy。



    The Franco…English alliance ceased as soon as ever the dynasty



of July and the constitutional monarchy in France felt themselves



to be sufficiently firmly established; but; on the other hand; the



interests of France in respect of naval power; navigation;



commerce; industry; and foreign possessions came again more to the



front。 It is clear that France has again an equal interest with the



other Continental powers in these questions; and the establishing



of a Continental alliance against the naval predominance of England



appears to be becoming a question of the day; provided the dynasty



of July can succeed in creating perfect unity of will between the



different organs of State administration; also to thrust into the



background those territorial questions which are excited by the



revolutionary tendencies; and entirely to appease in the minds of



the monarchical Continental powers the fear of the tendencies of



France towards revolution and aggression。



    Nothing; however; at this time so greatly impedes a closer



union of the continent of Europe as the fact that the centre of it



still never takes the position for which it is naturally fitted。



Instead of being a mediator between the east and the west of that



continent; on all questions of arrangement of territory; of the



principle of their constitutions; of national independence and



power; for which it is qualified by its geographical position; by



its federal constitution which excludes all apprehension of



aggression in the minds of neighbouring nations; by its religious



toleration; and its cosmopolitical tendencies; and finally by its



civilisation and the elements of power which it possesses; this



central part of Europe constitutes at present the apple of discord



for which the east and the west contend; while each party hopes to



draw to its own side this middle power; which is weakened by want



of national unity; and is always uncertainly wavering hither and



thither。



    If; on the other hand; Germany could constitute itself with the



maritime territories which appertain to it; with Holland; Belgium;



and Switzerland; as a powerful commercial and political whole  if



this mighty national body could fuse representative institutions



with the existing monarchical; dynastic; and aristocratic



interests; so far as these are compatible with one another  then



Germany could secure peace to the continent of Europe for a long



time; and at the same time constitute herself the central point of



a durable Continental alliance。



    That the naval power of England greatly exceeds that of all



other nations; if not on the number of ships; yet certainly in



fighting power  that hence the nations which are less powerful at



sea can only match England at sea by uniting their own naval power;



is clear。 From hence it follows; that every nation which is less



powerful at sea has an interest in the maintenance and prosperity



of the naval power of all other nations who are similarly weak at



sea; and further; that fractions of other nation
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